Banks were profitable in January and February… because of AIG

Posted on March 30, 2009 by Jason Shah

AIG, knowing it would need to ask for much more capital from the Treasury imminently, decided to throw in the towel, and gifted major bank counter-parties with trades which were egregiously profitable to the banks, and even more egregiously money losing to the U.S. taxpayers, who had to dump more and more cash into AIG, without having the U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner disclose the real extent of this, for lack of a better word, fraudulent scam.

Helmet use in skiing

Posted on March 19, 2009 by Jason Shah

Given the death of someone in the news while skiing this week, I was able to find numbers on what I have been looking for that justify my suspicion: use of helmets by skiers has increased dramatically recently.

When I first started skiing yearly in 2003, the only people I saw wearing helmets were two of the other three people skiing with me. I was acutely conscious of this and other equipment/fashion trends on the slopes, as I literally had almost no idea how warmly to dress, what good or bad equipment was (save determined by price), etc.

We adopted helmet use for our 2007 trip, and intend to continue it for the foreseeable future. I’ve put a lot of money into making my head smarter, I should protect that investment.

This year, on our trip to Steamboat Mountain, helmets were far more common than I’ve ever seen. The quote below from a CNN article helps justify that sentiment.

Forty-three percent of U.S. skiers and boarders wear helmets, according to a 2008 survey by the National Ski Areas Association, the trade group that represents ski resorts as well as ski gear manufacturers. That’s up from 25 percent in 2003.

Looks like it will be a banner year for the ski helmet manufacturers and distributors.

TARP, in pictures

Posted on March 18, 2009 by Jason Shah

Forwarded from a friend.

TARP

How to make AIG executives give up their bonuses

Posted on March 15, 2009 by Jason Shah

The government claims they are contractually obligated to pay 400 AIG executives and employees their $165M in bonuses.

How do we get these people to do the right thing and forgo these completely undeserved bonuses?

The administration can play hardball. Make a public statement that states, yes, you can take your bonus as the law dictates. However, if you do, we will make your names, addresses, and the amount of your bonus public. Not hardball enough? Then, make this policy apply in perpetuity (e.g. if you move, we will keep your address up to date). Too hardball? Limit it to those taking home >$500K from this bonus pool.

This will certainly make them think twice about accepting this money.

Of course, none of this would have been a problem if we hadn’t bailed them out in the first place – they would enter bankruptcy and these contracts could be void.

Posted on March 14, 2009 by Jason Shah

I’ve practically grown up with the business news channel CNBC in the background (and occasional foreground). I’ve tracked the market and invested in it for many years, learning early on that it felt only a few notches above gambling to me. And, the emergence of fast-pitch shows like Jim Cramer’s Mad Money on CNBC, and how they have become the ratings-winners for CNBC, really left an unsettling feeling in me that I’ve never explored before.

So, it was with great interest that I watched Jon Stewart disembowel Jim Cramer on his March 12 show (via my Neuros LINK). Catch the unedited version here while you can, but be aware that its unedited and contains profanity.

I have a variety of thoughts that stemmed from watching both the edited and unedited versions of this show, that I explore below.

Jon Stewart pushes hard to first establish Jim Cramer as the voice of CNBC, then rip CNBC apart for poor journalism over the course of the interview.
Jim Cramer’s argument seems to be that his show is purely commentary/entertainment, not journalism in the slightest. He tries to use this argument to justify that 1.) he was lied to like everyone else, 2.) he’s not the voice of CNBC so Jon Stewart should stop yelling at him. But since he doesn’t come right out and state this (and I don’t know if I would either, if I were him; that specific point would probably be picked up by other media and used to trash his show and ratings), he seems unable to mount a clear defense against Jon Stewart’s points of attack.
Jon Stewart plays some relatively damning clips of Jim Cramer being interviewed in 2006 about his days as a hedge fund manager and the short-selling and incorrectly leaked information tactics used by funds to drive stocks down for their personal gain. Jim Cramer’s response to this should have been a clear: “Yes, I did this. Yes, this is what many funds do. Yes, this may not be right. Now, my goal is to expose this to my viewers so they know what is happening.” Instead, he initially tried to lie, then fumbled around for an answer, and finally let Jon Stewart finish his sentences.
At one point, Jon Stewart asks Jim Cramer, “who are your viewers? The traders? Or..” he trails off, implying the other option as the average American. Which is an interesting question: who are CNBC’s viewers? For anyone who has watched CNBC in the morning or during the day for even five minutes, they will quickly realize that the viewers are the traders, investors, and other Wall Street insiders, and not the average viewer. I believe Jon Stewart trailed off at this point because he recognized the answer to this question himself at that very moment.
CNBC as a network is in a tough position. As a news network, they are seen as a source for independent reporting. But their target viewers are the very people who supply them with information and access. If they pushed into investigative journalism, transforming parts of their agency to look and act like Spitzer’s or Cuomo as Attorney General they run the risk of being entirely shut out of all of the companies they need access to. This situation is reminiscent of how the Bush administration treated reporters during the past eight years – if a network posted negative news about the administration, the war, or other areas of interest, they were effectively shut out of the news bubble.
This discussion may have been extremely popular for Comedy Central and CNBC, but will the results of this exchange change anything? My guess: on Mad Money, perhaps. You will see Jim Cramer try harder to explain how things work on a slightly more technical level. On CNBC, not as a result of this exchange. You will see broader changes in reporting due to the massive drop in the indexes, however.